The Democrat trails among white voters in Florida and Ohio, but gets more than 90 percent of black voters in each state. He also has double-digit leads among young voters in each state.

Every election cycle it's the youth vote that's going to SAVE us.  And every cycle they don't turn up.

Sorry, not feeling very much joy about the party today (Obama has become the least of my complaints).  Their complicity in destroying the Constitution (including non-leader Obama) makes it kind of hard to care as much about their electoral success.  And, of course, their participation in the petty, every day corruption that has become life in our Nation's capital.  

He'll "nosedive" (or so will say the Media Narrative).  Then all you'll hear is how Obama "lost it" and how his campaign is in a "meltdown" against a "resurgent" and "suddenly strong" McCain.  How Voters are now "turned off" to Obama, etc and so on and so forth.

This is usually how it works.  The media sets up the Dem as running strong only to knock them senseless like a political pinata right before the Election -- usually sometime in September or October -- and give the Republican the necessary assist they need to bring it on home in November.

Will these numbers hold?  No.
It's wishful thinking from Democrats and Obama followers.
The Republican machine hasn't even started up yet.

Those same polls said Hillary was going to be out of the race in March.  Too many pollsters are making too much money slanting polls for political gain.

Let's see those numbers in October.  If you think the Republicans are going to give up that White House without a fight, think again.

"... [G]etting Sen. Hillary Clinton out of the race has been a big boost for Sen. Barack Obama. He now leads in all three of the major swing states, although his margins in Florida and Ohio are small," said Peter A. Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute.

"Sen. Obama is certainly not out of the woods, but these results are a good indication that he enters the summer slightly ahead in the race to be the next president."

While Democrats support the idea, independent voters in each state say Obama should not choose Sen. Clinton as his vice presidential running mate. Results are:

• Florida: Democrats want Clinton on the ticket 57 - 33 percent
  
• Ohio: Democrats want Clinton for Vice President 58 - 31 percent
  
• Pennsylvania: Democrats say yes to Clinton 60 - 31 percent

"If Sen. Obama seriously is thinking about picking Sen. Clinton as his running mate, these numbers might cause him to reconsider.

(Republicans and Indies polled didn't favor Sen Clinton on the ticket; numbers can be crunched at the link.)

FWIW, Obama showed bad form in his VP selection process and looked petty and juvenile with his gratuitous smacks against Sen Clinton.

I prefer that Sen. Clinton stays away from all VP suggestions. She did what Obama only claimed he'd do: started a real grassroots movement. That kind of top notch talent shouldn't settle for second place to the less qualified, less experienced candidate.

He hasn't faced a formidable, organized opposition yet like she has endured for two decades (and still come out on top).

Even if Obama is bubble wrapped from criticism, IMO he's a toxic candidate in his ability to turn voters off not because of what others say but by his own attributes leaning towards arrogance, unprovoked contempt for huge groups of voters and a myriad other issues that have repeatedly come to the surface.

So what are you going to do to make it different?

i would nominate the most qualified candidate, the one who actually has real policies, can explain what they are and how she'd pay for them.

of course, that's me, not the DNC. they seem bound and determined, for the third election in a row, to pull defeat out of the jaws of victory.

if the election were held today

as my dad says: "if a frog had wings, he wouldn't bump his ass when he hopped."

the election isn't today, it's in nov. call me in oct., after the repub. 527's have raped and pillaged sen. obama and his madeover wife.

frankly, only a politician with career suicidal tendencies would be foolish enough to be sen. obama's running mate, should he actually be crowned in aug.

in order for sen. obama to be successful in the GE, he's going to have to totally reinvent himself, which will negate his entire primary campaign schtick. it will also give the mccain campaign additional ammunition to use against him.

sen. obama will be hoist on his own petard, come the GE, absent some miracle.

If I had to guess I'd say 45% chance of a Democratic landslide, 35% chance of the tighter Democratic victory, and 20% chance of a Republican victory.

Projected Electoral Votes
Barack Obama:  309
John McCain:  229

Projected Popular Vote
Barack Obama:  51.69%
John McCain:  47.31%

He says, "Barack Obama continues to lead John McCain by a comfortable margin [and] appears to have this presidential contest well in hand at the moment."

Other Republican predictors, such as Cold Hearted Truth, The Hedgedhog Report, Election Junkie and FiveThirtyEight, also all have Obama winning.

Link to Election Projection site is here:

If these numbers are real and hold up, Obama will win in a landslide.

"While Democrats support the idea, independent voters in each state say Obama should not choose Sen. Clinton as his vice presidential running mate."

Results are:  
Florida: Democrats want Clinton on the ticket 57 - 33 percent while Republicans are opposed 59 - 17 percent and independents oppose it 46 - 37 percent;
Ohio: Democrats want Clinton for Vice President 58 - 31 percent, but Republicans say no 60 - 19 percent and independents turn thumbs down 47 - 31 percent;
Pennsylvania: Democrats say yes to Clinton 60 - 31 percent, while Republicans say no 63 - 20 percent and independents nix the idea 49 - 36 percent.

"If Sen. Obama seriously is thinking about picking Sen. Clinton as his running mate, these numbers might cause him to reconsider. The people who really matter come November - independent voters - turn thumbs down on the idea. And, many say they are less likely to vote for him if he puts her on the ticket," Brown added.