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Monday Night Open Thread

Our earlier open thread is just about full.

My computers seem to be malware free now, but I'm still being very cautious. The last expense I want this time of year is a new computer or even worse, two.

In political news, Newt Gingrich today promised an evangelical group in Iowa he'll remain faithful to his current wife. In a letter promising to oppose gay marriage, he added:

"I also pledge to uphold the institution of marriage through personal fidelity to my spouse and respect for the marital bonds of others," he wrote.

This is an open thread, all topics welcome.

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    Newt's Contract on Concupiscence. (5.00 / 2) (#1)
    by Mr Natural on Mon Dec 12, 2011 at 09:34:50 PM EST


    My dear Lady. You do have technical problems!!. (5.00 / 1) (#5)
    by Gerald USN Ret on Mon Dec 12, 2011 at 10:14:25 PM EST
    This is something that might be of interest to you.

    This enables you to cut your computer on with a disk or a usb2flash drive inserted in it, and the computer will boot using the disk or flash drive so that the bad virus can't be activated.  The software on the disk or flash drive will then "heal" your computer.  

    \\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\

    http://letsbytecode.com/security/microsoft-tests-windows-defender-offline/

    Microsoft tests Windows Defender Offline
    December 12th, 2011 | Posted by synt4x in OS | Security | Windows

        Tweet

    Microsoft has released a beta version of its off-line antivirus Windows Defender, which works even when the computer is so badly infected that do not have full access to the Internet.

    The program allows users to run their computers infected with CD, DVD or flash drive and use the latest database to fight infections. This can be used to remove certain types of malicious software that makes it difficult or impossible to access security sites and sites with antivirus software. Computer scammers often try to prevent the cleaning of the victims PC through the obstacles to their access to such sites. Sometimes Windows is so infected that the network connection is not working.

    "The beta version of Windows Defender Offline can help remove hard-defined malicious and potentially unwanted software with new data, which recognize the threat," - said Microsoft was informed about the beta version.

    Seriously infected computers before it was necessary to "sanitize" using a boot disk for Windows or another like him. In addition to the usefulness of these discs, creating an image and keeping it updated by the latest database of malicious software can be tedious and time consuming.

    The beta version of Windows Defender Offline guides users through the steps needed to create a boot disk. The program requires 250 MB of free memory on a USB-drive.
    \\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\

    linux (5.00 / 1) (#7)
    by jharp on Mon Dec 12, 2011 at 10:32:43 PM EST
    Jeralyn,

    Simply install Linux on your 2 computers. It's free. And it's better software.

    No need to buy any new computers.

    I beleive she has some software (none / 0) (#36)
    by ruffian on Tue Dec 13, 2011 at 10:14:46 AM EST
    for legal stuff that only runs on Windows. If not for that I know in my heart she would be a Mac.

    Parent
    All I (5.00 / 1) (#16)
    by Ga6thDem on Tue Dec 13, 2011 at 06:15:41 AM EST
    can say about Newt is that he's a scream to watch and listen too. Good comedy for sure.

    Congratulations Newt! (5.00 / 1) (#17)
    by jbindc on Tue Dec 13, 2011 at 07:05:20 AM EST
    Of course, didn't he promise all of his wives this when he married them?

    We were on vacation at Disneyworld (5.00 / 2) (#22)
    by Militarytracy on Tue Dec 13, 2011 at 08:22:30 AM EST
    so haven't done much politicking, but we did see Newt discussing how trustworthy he now is.  When he added that he is a 60something grandfather now too and that makes him more trustworthy we snickered in the privacy of our room that that was his politically correct way of explaining that he is very unlikely to stray again because his stuff doesn't work the same anymore, and that is why diamonds have now had to be his new girls best friend.  I know, we are terrible

    So who you gonna believe? (5.00 / 0) (#91)
    by Edger on Tue Dec 13, 2011 at 02:18:25 PM EST
    Newt? Or his lyin' I's?

    Heh. What a cartoon he is, eh? He reminds me of some people even here. ;-)

    Parent

    Oh, dear (5.00 / 1) (#110)
    by Zorba on Tue Dec 13, 2011 at 08:11:53 PM EST
    Mr. Zorba an I were discussing the same thing about Newt- he is getting older, after all, and the (ahem) "equipment" may not exactly be up to par.  On the other hand, that's why there is Viagra, Cialis, and Levitra, I suppose.  I guess we're as terrible as you guys are.   ;-)

    Parent
    Moreover (5.00 / 1) (#111)
    by sj on Tue Dec 13, 2011 at 08:51:21 PM EST
    It's covered by health insurance

    Parent
    Yes, in very many health plans, it is (5.00 / 2) (#112)
    by Zorba on Tue Dec 13, 2011 at 08:59:47 PM EST
    Just like in very many health plans, contraception and, even way more so, abortion services, are not.  There is more than a little bit of hypocrisy in this, isn't there, sj?  

    Parent
    Yes, indeed (5.00 / 0) (#113)
    by sj on Tue Dec 13, 2011 at 09:38:19 PM EST
    What's that saying?  If men got pregnant abortion would be a sacrament.

    While I wouldn't go that far, I know that if men did get pregnant, there wouldn't even be a discussion about it.

    Parent

    AND (5.00 / 1) (#115)
    by Militarytracy on Wed Dec 14, 2011 at 08:53:13 AM EST
    You can get some military disability for it too when they send you to war and then you get home all stressed out and freaky and limpish :)  I think everyone is claiming this one now, Bob Dole made it cool :)

    Parent
    The things I learn from you... (5.00 / 2) (#116)
    by Anne on Wed Dec 14, 2011 at 09:17:38 AM EST
    and the smiles you put on my face...

    You have a gift, MT!

    Parent

    And another one down.... (5.00 / 0) (#26)
    by kdog on Tue Dec 13, 2011 at 09:20:32 AM EST
    and another one down, another drone bites the dust.

    Keep an eye on the sky folks, ya never know...

    Cue the Jackson Browne (5.00 / 0) (#40)
    by ruffian on Tue Dec 13, 2011 at 10:20:20 AM EST
    Pay attention to the open sky
    You never know what will be coming down
    Perhaps a better world is drawing near
    Just as easily it could all disappear
    Along what whatever meaning you might have found
    Don't let the uncertainty turn you around
    Go on and make a joyful sound

    And that an optimistic song for him....

    On topic, drones are going to be much more prone to mechanical failure than planes meant to carry humans. The standards just are not as high. Lots of incidents in our future.

    Parent

    Wonder if this is related.... (5.00 / 0) (#45)
    by kdog on Tue Dec 13, 2011 at 10:39:00 AM EST
    China looking to base warships in the area.

    Parent
    No doubt in my mind (5.00 / 0) (#52)
    by ruffian on Tue Dec 13, 2011 at 11:18:00 AM EST
    Handy (none / 0) (#27)
    by Edger on Tue Dec 13, 2011 at 09:27:32 AM EST
    on a "routine patrol" and had crashed because of mechanical failure.

    This should help with the excuses from Obama about the drone in Iran. I guess it was in Iran because of mechanical failure? Of computers inside skulls in Washington?

    "Carny" barker:

    "We can't help ourselves. We're incompetent. It's not out fault."


    Parent
    Unfortunately... (5.00 / 1) (#30)
    by kdog on Tue Dec 13, 2011 at 09:45:53 AM EST
    thats a rare moment of truth from the government...drones on patrol in every corner of the globe probably is routine.  

    Parent
    The cows are going to rebel (5.00 / 0) (#31)
    by Edger on Tue Dec 13, 2011 at 09:51:57 AM EST
    One of these days, if they keep that up.

    Parent
    erm... "our" fault (none / 0) (#28)
    by Edger on Tue Dec 13, 2011 at 09:28:12 AM EST
    it's early

    Parent
    I keep thinking of paper airplanes. (none / 0) (#68)
    by oculus on Tue Dec 13, 2011 at 12:30:34 PM EST
    No Reservations holiday special: (none / 0) (#3)
    by andgarden on Mon Dec 12, 2011 at 09:58:21 PM EST
    Samantha Brown flips out at Tony Bourdain in a curse-filled rant (and more). Must see TV!

    Police in the UK (none / 0) (#4)
    by Edger on Mon Dec 12, 2011 at 09:59:20 PM EST
    get new cool rayguns that almost sound like something that would make a Terminator blow a fuse or two in ecstasyasm.

    I imagine US police will be getting jealous. Should be an emerging market here.

    My god... (none / 0) (#10)
    by desertswine on Mon Dec 12, 2011 at 11:42:55 PM EST
    they'll force us to wear our Archie McPhee glasses.  

    I wonder how long before they start permanently blinding people.

    Parent

    Mirrored sunglasses should be a hot stock soon (none / 0) (#15)
    by Edger on Tue Dec 13, 2011 at 05:46:32 AM EST
    "lasers that only cause temporary vision impairment, or blindness by accident, are still acceptable."

    Oh, did I blind you by accident? Oh, I am sorry.

    Parent

    He's promised that (none / 0) (#6)
    by lilburro on Mon Dec 12, 2011 at 10:31:59 PM EST
    several times before though, hasn't he?

    promises promises (none / 0) (#9)
    by womanwarrior on Mon Dec 12, 2011 at 10:59:53 PM EST
    You got that right.  And what does such a promise mean to a mendacious, hypocritical narcissist anyway?  The rules do not apply to him.  Ah, he is so delicious to watch in a very twisted way.  Time to make emigration plans?  

    Parent
    We're all white tailed deer (none / 0) (#20)
    by BobTinKY on Tue Dec 13, 2011 at 08:16:06 AM EST
    these days.

    Parent
    I use (none / 0) (#8)
    by Jeralyn on Mon Dec 12, 2011 at 10:38:41 PM EST
    Trend Micro (work), McAfee (home desktop), Microsoft's Security Essentials (home laptop) and now on the laptop, Stopzilla.

    Another for your array (none / 0) (#11)
    by Towanda on Tue Dec 13, 2011 at 12:19:38 AM EST
    or to tuck away in your files for another day is our techie's recommendation, and free:  Spybot.  (I am checking out one you have that I do not as I type this, as well as other referrals here.)

    I commiserate about your awful day yesterday, the hours that such a mess can take to clear away, and am glad that you did not lose a computer or two.  We have had all of the above happen, and it is just horrible to watch the meltdown and have the worry of lost work, large expense, etc.

    (Well, I also have literally had a meltdown, a computer suddenly acting odd, and then that smell of electrical wires burning -- and it turned out that it was a meltdown of a motherboard.  I had to learn the hard way to be sure to leave lots of room around the fan vent on CPU, you bet.)

    Parent

    Soaring rhetoric (none / 0) (#14)
    by Edger on Tue Dec 13, 2011 at 03:00:55 AM EST
    This quote is part of a commenters critique of a very good post on current affairs by former Managing Editor of FireDogLake and the Agonist Ian Welsh on Monday...

    My best guess of the body count is that over a billion will die, because the majority of the population of the planet is not food-sufficient even with industrial agriculture going full tilt, and once industrial agriculture collapses in the midst of the turmoil of revolution and social disintegration... well. Actually, now that I think about it, the fate of most Romans at the end of the Empire is probably going to be ours -- it's estimated that up to half of the population of the Empire ended up dead in its collapse, due to starvation, war, and disease (all of which go together since hungry people wage war for what food remains and war destroys things like water systems, sewers, and clean warm homes that prevent diseases).

    What strikes me most about our oligarchs is how stupid they are. A century of inbreeding and wealth primarily passed from parents to children through multiple generations has resulted in an oligarch class that, with a few notable exceptions (most of whom are first-generation oligarchs) are about as bright as a box of walnuts.

    The post this is part of a reply to is even better - "waxing rhapsodic" is a good description of it - and you're going to love Ian's title, too

    Try to have a nice day.

    I think (5.00 / 1) (#21)
    by AngryBlackGuy on Tue Dec 13, 2011 at 08:16:24 AM EST
    that the tone of that post on firedog is silly.  This isn't a movie.  The people she is talking about aren't a monolith of evil scheming on the masses.

    I don't think those kinds of sweeping generalizations are helpful.  Capitalism is IMHO still the best way to maximize benefit for all.  The question is how the gains from capitalism are reinvested to help those at the bottom of the class ladder.

    You can have that conversation and advocate for investment in those that are less fortunate without demonizing I think.

    The odd part of our politics today is the support that the wealthy receive on policy from those who are less fortunate voting against their interests.  Part of that is a reaction to this kind of anti-capitalistic thinking. They probably know at some level that the 1% aren't doing enough to help but they also have an instinctive opposition to demonizing those who have been very successful.

    I think our ideals win if we promote them as common sense as opposed to promoting them as the counter to the evil illuminati oligarch empire.   That's when progressive ideals really take off.  

    It's not wealth redistribution or carrying dead weight to invest in those less fortunate.  It is good common sense and pragmatism.  That's the argument that can win.

    It just doesn't make for good blog fodder that gets people angry and typing.

    I haven't been able to stomach Firedog for some time.  While it's fans love the increasingly evil/good rhetoric, I think they are making themselves less relevant outside of the sphere of their core audience.

    Parent

    A few points... (5.00 / 1) (#48)
    by Anne on Tue Dec 13, 2011 at 10:57:45 AM EST
    First, I don't know who the "she" is to whom you refer in your opening paragraph:
    The people she is talking about aren't a monolith of evil scheming on the masses.

    Did you just see a reference to FDL and assume that the comment highlighted in Edger's post was by Jane?  Or did you assume that Ian Welsh wrote it and he's actually a she?

    If you had clicked on the link, you'd have learned that Ian Welsh doesn't write at FDL anymore - he has his own blog.  

    And you wonder why people keep calling BS on your habit of talking out of your ass...jeezus.

    As to the "substance" of your comment...uh, what?  

    People end up voting against their interests because there is no one running for office anymore that isn't stinking rich and firmly in the pockets of the special interests - people end up voting for the least bad candidate, for heaven's sake, because that's the only choice there is - other than not voting at all.

    And it isn't that the 99% want "help," ABG - what they want is some kind of essential fairness, a more level playing field, a respect for the real contributions they make - and have made - to society.   We don't want handouts, ABG, which is how you seem to be framing this issue.  

    As for ideals - harsh as this sounds, I think you are the last person who should be giving a tutorial on how best to promote our ideals, because the only thing you ever seem to have an interest in promoting is Obama - and if, perchance, there is a nexus between ideals and Obama's political fortunes, you're all over it, but if not, well, we just have to be practical, reasonable, mature and accept whatever he and his campaign managers decide is "the best they can do" and still win.

    As for your not being able to stomach FDL, it's a lot harder to hang in over there where things are not as genteel and polite as they are here, huh?


    Parent

    Anne (2.00 / 0) (#50)
    by AngryBlackGuy on Tue Dec 13, 2011 at 11:12:25 AM EST
    1. No gotcha.  I assumed the person writing it was a female.  Really that simple.  Didn't even look at the author's name.

    2. As to the substance of your comment, Joe the Plumber wasn't voting against his interest because he didn't have a candidate.  He was voting against his own interest because he believed that liberals are bed wetting whiners, or whatever rubbish folks like him believe.

    3. You have this dream of a magical candidate that will make half of the country suddenly forget what they have believed as core ideals for years and embrace liberalism. It's a dream.  It is not real.  
    The only chance at real change is a person who is able to capture the imagination of the 60-60% of the country in the middle and that means someone who doesn't demonize the left or the right.

    3. I have never posted at Firedog that I can remember (I may have years ago).  I recall posting in support of a point Hamsher made and then posting something else against something she said.    If they have something interesting to say, I'll post there. I don't fear any anonymous commenters on the internet. That's just me.

    More interesting a test would be how you would handle an environment where there wasn't just one person calling you out for overreaching statements.

    You couldn't be me if you tried.  You couldn't handle it.  That's why you need an echo chamber.

    Parent

    the biggest issue (5.00 / 3) (#58)
    by CST on Tue Dec 13, 2011 at 11:36:27 AM EST
    I have with your, for lack of a better word, cynicism, is that Barrack Obama did exactly that:

    "candidate that will make half of the country suddenly forget what they have believed as core ideals for years and embrace liberalism"

    in 2008.  Obama aside (whatever else you say about him, he was promoting liberal values on the campaign trail back then), in 2008 Democrats had an overwhelming majority in the House (pretty close to a liberal majority even after you factor out blue dogs - Pelosi could pass liberal policy), and 59 seats in the senate, which isn't enough to be filibuster proof but is a pretty solid majority, again, even factoring out more conservative Dems.  I agree that a candidate shouldn't demonize the other side necessarily, but that doesn't mean they can't be a champion, or for that matter, that that's not what Obama does on the campaign trail.  The problem is he doesn't do it enough when actually governing.  That doesn't mean people won't/aren't voting for that.

    And yet from that picture all you got is that this country is hopelessly conservative?

    Parent

    CST (none / 0) (#61)
    by AngryBlackGuy on Tue Dec 13, 2011 at 11:58:13 AM EST
    Fair points and I'll try to address them:

    1. You are right. Obama did just that.  He united the country behind the concept of bipartisan change.  Although the left saw him as a savior of liberalism, those that gave him the landslide wanted a bipartisan agreement maker.  

    2. I believe that the Blue Dogs and their power created, in essence, a third party within congress.  Democrats, Conservatives and Blue Dogs. When evaluating how much power the dems had, I think that is the proper standard.

    3. To support point 2, look at what the dems tried to do to get Stupak 11 on board with ACA. We basically had to give earmarks [cough, bribes] to get them to go along with a fairly moderate bill. There would be no bribe large enough that would have caused those folks to vote for something more liberal because it would have cost them their positions.  That's fact. There is no way around that.

    4. The country is not hopelessly conservative but it is significantly conservative in a number of ways.  Our difference is in how you change that.  I think our obvious examples are various social issues. The change in thinking on gay rights, for example, was gradual but steady.  Progress was slowed only when advances were made to quickly for the mainstream to accept. It wasn't optimal (especially for gay americans who suffered) but it worked.

    If you have that as your model of liberal change, railing against the evil oligarchy really isn't a helpful tactic.

    I differ from most folks here not in policy but in tactics.  I think liberals (especially liberals in their most agitated and angry state) are terrible on strategy and tactics, which is why Karl Rove and crew often kick our behinds.

    Clinton's moderate tactics were working and would have continued to work under Gore to pull us left.  They again worked under Obama.  A healthcare bill passed that would not have passed before. DADT repeal happened that would not have happened before.

    The problem is that the change isn't fast enough so FDL types view it all as failure.

    Liberals just keep shooting themselves in the foot because they do not have the patience and the belief in strategy that conservatives do.

    Parent

    Obama said the word bipartisan a lot (5.00 / 2) (#65)
    by CST on Tue Dec 13, 2011 at 12:15:45 PM EST
    but every single policy he talked about was liberal.  To me, that is an indication that people like people to be nice to each other, but they still like liberal policy better.  Say what you will about him, but his tax policy, healthcare policy, foreign policy, etc... outlined in his campaign was anything but bipartisan.

    There are some areas where the blue dogs had that power, like stupak, but as a counter to that - look at what else we got out of the house - a public option, medicare expansion probably would have passed, a much better stimulus, etc...  Say what you will about Stupak but that was the exception not the rule for that house.

    Finally, I guess where we differ on the last one is you see liberals as being hurtfull to the cause of progress while I see it as being necessary.  I realize that progress on a federal level is slow, but opinions on DADT didn't change because gay people shut up for years and played along.  They were out in the courts fighting for rights tooth and nail, and eventually through that process and through some key wins, people began to come around as the issue got more exposure.  I would go so far as to say it only happened on a federal level because of pressure from interest groups.  There is a difference between politicians and agitators, as there should be, but that doesn't mean the agitators aren't essential to the process.

    I think it was FDR who said "make me do it".

    Parent

    Completely disagree (none / 0) (#69)
    by jbindc on Tue Dec 13, 2011 at 12:33:15 PM EST
     "Every single policy" he campaigned on was not, in fact, liberal.  He campaigned on a few moderate ideas, but he actually had very little in the way of substantive policies, and in reality, he ran on the idea of 1) he wasn't George Bush and 2) his election would be historic.  That's it.  He occassionally referred people to his campaign website, but for the most part, people voted for him, not because they thought he would usher in an era of new liberalism, but because he was not of the same party as Bush and Cheney.

    Parent
    Yeah, I have a really hard time (5.00 / 1) (#64)
    by Anne on Tue Dec 13, 2011 at 12:04:14 PM EST
    handling myself against opposing views, ABG, because, of course, you're the only dissenter, right?

    (1)    Some day, when you stop assuming things, and start reading the links people take the time and trouble to provide, the quality of your arguments could actually improve, but when you do the equivalent of this: FDL = must be Jane Hamsher = must be liberal garbage, you lose before you even get started.  

    (2)    I didn't realize we were only talking about Joe the Plumber voting against his interests, but thanks for changing the terms of the argument - again.  I know that Democrats voted against their interests because they believed - or desperately wanted to believe - the Obama sales pitch, and recognized that the GOP was worse.  Little did they know - or little did they care to believe beforehand - how far to the right Obama would go on issue after issue, making him indistinguishable on too many issues from those wonderful folks named Bush and Cheney.   Obama's once again engaging in liberal-speak, but many of us have learned that it isn't what he says, it's what he does, and are not under any illusions that he actually means what he says.

    (3)    Speaking of illusions, I am well aware that there is no dream candidate - not now, and at the rate and direction things are going, probably not even in my lifetime.   Nice strawman, though - you should try to be less obvious about it, though.   Oh, and playing to the middle in the belief that there is any imagination to be found there is just laughable.  

    (4)    Not really interested in where you comment.  

    (5)    I couldn't be you?  Oh, the horror.  

    (6)    Your numbering system makes about as much sense as your comments (1, 3, 2, 3?).


    Parent

    Anne (2.00 / 0) (#102)
    by AngryBlackGuy on Tue Dec 13, 2011 at 03:28:01 PM EST

    1. Get over yourself Anne.  I try to read as much as I can of what is posted here in detail.  Why don't we just save time: I may call an author a woman when he is a man or make any number of small mistakes in discussing an article or point.  It happens. It means nothing other than I just didn't focus on the title or the author's name in skimming for substance. Feel free to deslare yourself the winner of all ridiculous arguments on minor minutia like that.  Knock yourself out.

    2.a.  My point was about republicans voting against their interest.  Joe the Plumber was a republican who notoriously voted against his own interest.  Once again you are so concerned with finding a "gotcha" on an irrelevant point that you missed the real point.  You do that often.

    2.b.  The interests of democrats have been served by this president for the most part.  You are wrong.  We just won't agree there so it seems silly for you to make pronouncements about how all dems were all bamoozled when poll after poll shows that you are wrong.  You think Obama has been a failure but most dems do not.  It is weird that you continue to think that you have the pulse of dems.  You demonstrably do not.

    1. You pretend that there is a candidate that exists that would give you what you want.  There is not.  You hold Obama to a ridiculous standard.  I didn't create the strawman.  You did with your silly expectations.

    2. You were interested enough to reference where I posted.

    3. Your logic is horrifying.

    4. Typos are the devil.  I see why you focus on the minutia like that.  They are the only valid points you make.


    Parent
    Not so Anne (none / 0) (#59)
    by MKS on Tue Dec 13, 2011 at 11:38:22 AM EST
    ABG just quoted Elizabeth Warren back at Jim regarding Jim's question about ROI on helping the middle class.

    I think you may be blind to some of ABG's comments because he is an Obama supporter.

    Parent

    "Parent" is your friend, MKS; (5.00 / 1) (#77)
    by Anne on Tue Dec 13, 2011 at 01:05:54 PM EST
    my comment to ABG was not about the Elizabeth Warren quote - which I instantly recognized - but about ABG's response to Edger and the quoted comment Edger included that he brought over from Ian Welsh's blog.

    ABG even admitted in his response to me that he hadn't read the link Edger provided and just "assumed" the writer was female.

    Try to keep up.

    Parent

    Of course (none / 0) (#86)
    by MKS on Tue Dec 13, 2011 at 01:46:07 PM EST
    it was not in the immediately preceding comment.

    But your comment was not confined just to the immediatley preceding or parent comment.  You made some sweeping comments about ABG in general that were imo unfair.

    And you were not just commenting on ABG's asssumption that a writer was female.  You went well beyond that....

    The Elizabeth Warren quotation should have slowed you guys down from the typcial bash fest here, but alas it did not.

    Parent

    To be clear (none / 0) (#88)
    by MKS on Tue Dec 13, 2011 at 02:07:21 PM EST
    You have linked to you comment above.  It was this within that linked comment that I am referring to:

    As for ideals - harsh as this sounds, I think you are the last person who should be giving a tutorial on how best to promote our ideals, because the only thing you ever seem to have an interest in promoting is Obama

    Yes, Anne, it was harsh--and unfair as shown by ABG's quoting of Elizabeth Warren.

    Parent

    Read the rest of the quote, MKS, (5.00 / 2) (#93)
    by Anne on Tue Dec 13, 2011 at 02:28:34 PM EST
    because that's where the truth lies...everything is couched in terms of whether it helps or hurts Obama's chances, standing, poll numbers - you name it.

    ABG brings a lot of the heat he gets on himself; he comments using assumptions he would know are not valid if he would only read the often-linked material others provide to support their own points - and he does this a lot.   You can see it in his original response to Edger - he referred to the quote Edger provided as "that post on firedog," when the comment came from an Ian Welsh post on Ian's blog, he referred to "the people she is talking about," and then admitted he didn't read the name of the author - which, if he had, wouldn't have told him one way or the other whether the commenter was a he or a she because it was written under a gender-neutral handle.  

    He doesn't do his homework, MKS, and the result is a steady stream of comments correcting his false assumptions, his distortions of the facts and his manipulation of others' opinions.  A week or so ago, I posted some information about Maryland's health insurance plan and he took that, conflated it with the Massachusetts plan under Romney, referred to me as someone who agreed that Romneycare = Obamacare, and all for the express purpose of aha-ing me with the fact that Romneycare is a popular plan, and asking me if Maryland residents don't understand what their plan does.   ABG does this kind of crap all the time, MKS, and that's why people throw it right back in his face.

    ABG puts words in other people's mouths so he can have the argument he wants; he thinks sprinkling in some key words will convince those gathered here that he knows what he's talking about and has done his homework.   He doesn't, most of the time, and it shows.

    If these qualify as sweeping generalizations, he deserves them.

    No, I am not impressed by his quoting of Elizabeth Warren, MKS; based on ABG's history of more or less rejecting anything obviously left-leaning and populist as being out of the mainstream and in the minority, I'm pretty sure his use of the quote was as self-serving as Obama's speeches on populism and income inequities are.

    Parent

    Without dissecting (none / 0) (#95)
    by MKS on Tue Dec 13, 2011 at 02:41:31 PM EST
    your exchange with ABG in detail, I can say that Romney's gyrations on health care do give rise to some interesting comparisons.....

    Parent
    I admitted no such thing (none / 0) (#103)
    by AngryBlackGuy on Tue Dec 13, 2011 at 03:28:43 PM EST
    and the reply button is a little messed up today.  It is putting replies in odd places.

    Parent
    Jesus, you can't even get what (5.00 / 2) (#105)
    by Anne on Tue Dec 13, 2011 at 03:38:08 PM EST
    you said right:

     

    assumed the person writing it was a female.  Really that simple.  Didn't even look at the author's name.

    But, sure, blame it on the Reply button...yeah...that's the ticket.

    Parent

    ABG, riddle me this (1.00 / 1) (#32)
    by jimakaPPJ on Tue Dec 13, 2011 at 09:52:25 AM EST
    It's not wealth redistribution or carrying dead weight to invest in those less fortunate.  It is good common sense and pragmatism.  That's the argument that can win.

    Explain, please, what is the return on investment? And when can we expect that return?

    Parent

    Sure (5.00 / 1) (#37)
    by AngryBlackGuy on Tue Dec 13, 2011 at 10:16:51 AM EST
    Here is the way it works:

    "There is nobody in this country who got rich on his own. Nobody.  You built a factory out there -- good for you. But I want to be clear.  You moved your goods to market on the roads the rest of us paid for.  You hired workers the rest of us paid to educate.  You were safe in your factory because of police forces and fire forces that the rest of us paid for. You didn't have to worry that maurauding bands would come and seize everything at your factory... Now look.  You built a factory and it turned into something terrific or a great idea -- God Bless! Keep a Big Hunk of it.  But part of the underlying social contract is you take a hunk of that and pay forward for the next kid who comes along."

    That is the argument on a return on national investment made without demonizing the rich made by a very shrewd and savvy woman.

    Parent

    The question is (5.00 / 1) (#63)
    by jimakaPPJ on Tue Dec 13, 2011 at 12:03:42 PM EST
    at what point will the "investor" decide that the "investments" are worth his effort and move onward.

    When you have almost half the population paying no FIT, yet being allowed to vote, any vision of a representative republic s fades.

    The thing is that the Repubs revolted a few years back and established FIT levels that won't support the spending required. Obama has increased the debt by some $5 trillion and was hopeful that the Repubs would "do the right thing" and increase taxes on the "rich." Of course that would just lead to defining rich as $70K and across the board increases.

    That didn't work.

    So spare me the "we're all in this together" BS. I've heard it before. We have an established non-contributing class that the Demos want to give more.

    I say our tax system needs replacing.

    Parent

    Being ALLOWED to vote?!?! (5.00 / 1) (#100)
    by Yman on Tue Dec 13, 2011 at 03:20:03 PM EST
    When you have almost half the population paying no FIT, yet being allowed to vote, any vision of a representative republic s fades.

    They're being "allowed to vote" when they don't pay FIT - never mind that boring, old "Constitution"-thingy.  Let's go back to the days of poll taxes, based on how much FIT you pay - all those other taxes people pay should'nt count anyway because .... well, .... they have a other names.

    Geeeeee-zus.  Occasionally, you throw something out thee that reveals your true mindset.


    Obama has increased the debt by some $5 trillion and was hopeful that the Repubs would "do the right thing" and increase taxes on the "rich." Of course that would just lead to defining rich as $70K and across the board increases.

    Must be nice just to make it up as you go along.  Not convincing in the slightest, ...

    ... but easy.

    Parent

    Lower income people (none / 0) (#114)
    by MKS on Wed Dec 14, 2011 at 12:17:40 AM EST
    are deadbeats who don't deserve to vote.  Got it.

    Republicans really like to make war on the poor.  Double got it.

    Parent

    Republicans are just folks (none / 0) (#117)
    by jondee on Wed Dec 14, 2011 at 12:12:09 PM EST
    who are more in touch with their evolutionary roots (while at the same time still claiming that the theory of evolution is ungodly): the alpha males and females of the pack, band, or troop must be groomed, succured, supported as  "the job creators" and society's benefactors etc, while the weaker and the infirm are the next-step-down-in-the-pecking-order punching bags and pariahs ripe for culling..

       

    Parent

    Yup, (none / 0) (#92)
    by MKS on Tue Dec 13, 2011 at 02:27:33 PM EST
    amzaing how often this renders conservatives speechless, flabbergasted or otherwise discombobulated.

    Parent
    Jim, riddle me this (5.00 / 1) (#60)
    by MKS on Tue Dec 13, 2011 at 11:50:49 AM EST
    I still cannot fathom how you can be for single payer, yet be so completely in agreement with Republican talking points on the economy in general.

    The Republicans  would view single payer as socialism and flip their lid.

    I have heard you complaint about the Occupy Wall Streters as dirty free loaders......A standard punch the hippies response.

    It is hard to square this circle of your views, but I have a theory.

    Progressive economic issues poll really well, garnering supermajorities.  But they only do when unconnected to identifiable  partisan Democratic policies.

    Jim, your comments are peppered with standard conservative talking points and cultural disdain for Democrats....yet you are for single payer.

    This leads me to conclude that Republicans are Republicans primarily because of cultural issues....which often morph into religious issues.....

    This is really the best explanation for the high polling for Democratic issues but significant opposition to Democrats who espouse those issues....(and yes I know the response by the Anti-Obama folks to this but my response to that is best saved for another post.)


    Parent

    Ding (none / 0) (#62)
    by AngryBlackGuy on Tue Dec 13, 2011 at 12:01:48 PM EST
    Dong for ABG and MKS this for you (none / 0) (#67)
    by jimakaPPJ on Tue Dec 13, 2011 at 12:22:46 PM EST
    I still cannot fathom how you can be for single payer, yet be so completely in agreement with Republican talking points on the economy in general.

    A single payer system based on the Medicare model paid for by a national sales tax would be fair and it would spur company/job creation. I know from personal experience that when you are a start up and try to hire people the question becomes, "Tell me about your health insurance...." It's a huge road block.

    So it strokes my social liberalism for "fairness" and business side at the same time. Also when businesses get to stop buying insurance for the employees a good deal of that money will flow into salary increases, R&D and other business expanding activities.

    As for "in general"..... Well, I watched the Demos try and micro manage the economy and it didn't work. That was the essence of the failure and why the Repubs gained the upper hand in the 80's.

    You should also remember the air controllers striking and Reagan taking them down. The Demos and the unions all were thunderstruck when the public supported Reagan.

    The public did so because they saw government employees making good money with great security and benefits... Never complain with your mouth full.

    The teachers and other government unions should pray that a Repub doesn't become Prez..... But I think they understand that.

    All I see out of ABG and his happy band of Obama minions is wanting to return to that. And "that" really was just an early form of crony capitalism.

    BTW - I don't remember calling the dirty freeloading OWS "dirty freeloaders." ;-)

    Parent

    Single payer (none / 0) (#72)
    by MKS on Tue Dec 13, 2011 at 12:45:47 PM EST
    and yet you cite Reagan's giving it to the air traffic controllers and a standard Republican dose of teacher bashing.....

    These are cultural issues imo.   Unions are advocates for the middle class.  Unions are big advocates for single payers--because it benefits the middle class.  To listen to Republicans talk, teachers are an economic drag on the economy and are so overpaid they are bankrupting the country.

      And the banks and Wall Street--Middle class Republicans are just fine with them.  It really is amazing how well the 1% have been distracted or memzmerized and so many middle class Reublicans bamboozled into voting for their own economic self-destruction.

    The teacher bashing is based on religious and cultural issues.  Teachers don't lead school prayer--as they should--and don't teach  ID, and do teach Darwinism.   It is a big cultural chip on the Republicans' shoulders that leads to teacher bashing.  

    Also, Southerners have huge chips on their shoulders....and that results in anti-anything that has a whiff of East Coast Liberalism attached to it, even if the issue being espoused espouse is otherwise acceptable.

    Parent

    how well the 1% have been (none / 0) (#73)
    by MKS on Tue Dec 13, 2011 at 12:48:42 PM EST
    able to distract and mezmerize and how so many middle class Republicans have been bamboozled .....

    That is what I wanted to say.

    Parent

    Yup. They aren't voting against their best (none / 0) (#76)
    by ruffian on Tue Dec 13, 2011 at 12:57:25 PM EST
    interests. They don't define their best interests in financial terms. They seem happy to sacrifice financially if it means people culturally (religiously, racially, sexually) not like themselves are suffering even more.

    Parent
    I think it goes back to Nixon-- (5.00 / 1) (#87)
    by MKS on Tue Dec 13, 2011 at 01:49:07 PM EST
    he is to blame.

    It was Nixon's Southern Strategy that pushed many middle and lower income folks to the Republicans.....We have seen the evolving process ever since....

    We may think the current election is all about the economy and that may be the language that many use, but underneath it is still about a cultural grudge.

    Parent

    Nixon? Southern Strategy? (none / 0) (#108)
    by jimakaPPJ on Tue Dec 13, 2011 at 05:04:58 PM EST
    Good grief. That was almost 50 years ago.

    And your thinly disguised racism claim would be funny if it wasn't so sad.

    Quit living in the past, MKS. Come join the rest of us in the 21st century.

    Get a life!

    Parent

    You know, you don't know many (none / 0) (#107)
    by jimakaPPJ on Tue Dec 13, 2011 at 05:01:40 PM EST
    ....if any Southerners... and it looks like even fewer middle class Repubs.

    They are not ok with the banks, they just don't think seizing public property in NY, Portland, etc., is going to fix anything.

    And teacher bashing based on cultural issues? I mean, really. Mad at them because they don't lead prayers? Teach ID????

    Where do you get such things??  I take it back. You know zip about the south beyond what you see on TCM. Let me guess. Your fav is "In the Heat of the Night."

    Or are you just trying to be insulting?

    And you seem to be unable to understand that it is not just unions that want certain things. And based on how they rolled over re Obamacare it is plain they don't really care about single payer.

    So quit trying to out me, and millions like me, in some neat little category. It doesn't work.

    Parent

    "The South" (none / 0) (#118)
    by jondee on Wed Dec 14, 2011 at 12:22:06 PM EST
    Thank God there isn't one South..

    Except possibly as an abstract, romantically-nostalgic myth that existing in some people's minds..

    Parent

    Thank you for making my point (none / 0) (#119)
    by jimakaPPJ on Wed Dec 14, 2011 at 09:38:41 PM EST
    ABG, riddle me this (1.00 / 1) (#33)
    by jimakaPPJ on Tue Dec 13, 2011 at 09:52:25 AM EST
    It's not wealth redistribution or carrying dead weight to invest in those less fortunate.  It is good common sense and pragmatism.  That's the argument that can win.

    Explain, please, what is the return on investment? And when can we expect that return?

    Parent

    You know what, abg? (none / 0) (#24)
    by Edger on Tue Dec 13, 2011 at 09:05:29 AM EST
    What you think - about most things I've had the dubious pleasure of having to listen to you opine on - is irrelevant.

    There are virtually no right wingers who can stomach FDL.

    Parent

    What you don't get (5.00 / 1) (#38)
    by AngryBlackGuy on Tue Dec 13, 2011 at 10:17:43 AM EST
    is there are a lot of liberals who can't either.

    That kind of thing is why liberal was a bad word for a number of years.

    Parent

    And Edger (none / 0) (#39)
    by AngryBlackGuy on Tue Dec 13, 2011 at 10:18:40 AM EST
    Right back at you.  Your opinions around these parts aren't necessarily making people smarter.

    Parent
    Well, I have tried (5.00 / 0) (#43)
    by Edger on Tue Dec 13, 2011 at 10:26:58 AM EST
    and so has almost everyone else here, abg.

    Sadly, it's apparent that nothing is going to work on you.

    Parent

    Edger (5.00 / 1) (#44)
    by AngryBlackGuy on Tue Dec 13, 2011 at 10:36:08 AM EST
    Good and smart people can disagree on issues without one side being ignorant, or stupid or any of the other words you use when your intellect fails.

    Agree to disagree is an option. Your opinion weighs no more than mine.

    You keep raging about solutions that are completely impossible to invoke, I'll keep talking about real change that can make things better in this world instead of The Matrix and the circle of life can continue.

    Parent

    I don't have people here (5.00 / 0) (#46)
    by Edger on Tue Dec 13, 2011 at 10:44:59 AM EST
    asking me to go away, abg. I'm sorry that you do, nearly every day, but as I said, I don't think I can help you. It's going to have to come from within you, if at all. Obama can't save you either.

    Parent
    There are people (none / 0) (#49)
    by AngryBlackGuy on Tue Dec 13, 2011 at 11:05:35 AM EST
    who appreciate my comments (although they disagree) and those who do not.   But only the weak ones seek to censor opposing views.  If you are confident in your views, why the need to silence those who disagree?

    Anyway, I am here to talk about the issues.  If you don't like it, don't read it. Pretty simple.


    Parent

    I have no interest in censoring you, abg. (5.00 / 0) (#53)
    by Edger on Tue Dec 13, 2011 at 11:29:23 AM EST
    I want you to keep doing what you're doing. You're the best voice here highlighting the sad pathetic realities and the massive democracy crushing and social instability creating failures of the Obama administration to live up to his own soaring words...
    "In the end, if the people cannot trust their government to do the job for which it exists - to protect them and to promote their common welfare - all else is lost."

    Barack Obama, University of Nairobi, August 28, 2006
    An Honest Government, A Hopeful Future

    If you have problems with people here, it must be them, right?

    Carl Levin, for instance, is such a twit, isn't he?

    Parent

    Note (none / 0) (#66)
    by AngryBlackGuy on Tue Dec 13, 2011 at 12:18:46 PM EST
    Your comment assumes that TL is at all representative of the larger world.

    It is not.

    Carl Levin is a good guy.  We need people like him pulling Obama to the right.

    But Levin voted to support Obama on many of the initiatives that you speak out against here.  The fact that a person doesn't agree with a representative on everything doesn't mean that they are unworthy of support.

    You give me a politician you support and I will give you a list of things that he did you won't like.

    Parent

    Thank you (5.00 / 2) (#70)
    by Edger on Tue Dec 13, 2011 at 12:38:53 PM EST
    Carl Levin is a good guy.  We need people like him pulling Obama to the right.

    The fog lifts. Please keep doing what you're doing.

    Parent

    I meant "left" (none / 0) (#71)
    by AngryBlackGuy on Tue Dec 13, 2011 at 12:44:19 PM EST
    Anyway, I don't think Carl Levin would advocate staying at home or giving your vote to a third party candidate.  I am fairly sure that he will be strongly arguing that we should all vote for Obama.

    If you respect his opinion, do you respect his opinion on that?

    Parent

    Right (5.00 / 0) (#75)
    by Edger on Tue Dec 13, 2011 at 12:55:07 PM EST
    It was just a freudian slip on your part. Of course.

    ...

    It is not Levin's "opinion" that Obama asked the Armed Services Committee to include in the NDAA the power for Obama to imprison at whim Americans without trial or rights, before making his meaningless opportunistic noises about "vetoing" it.

    Levin was stating a fact. One that you have no objection to, apparently.

    I'm sure you know the difference between a fact and an opinion.

    I don't know that it is Levin's "opinion" that Obama should be re-elected, but if so, you already know my opinion.

    You're doing fine, abg. Keep it up.

    Parent

    I disagree (none / 0) (#104)
    by AngryBlackGuy on Tue Dec 13, 2011 at 03:32:05 PM EST
    with Obama on the issue Levin referenced and a bunch of other stuff.

    [consider your head blown]

    But I am also not an idiot, and given my status as "not an idiot" I understand that Presidents will do some things you like and some things you don't.  If you like most of what they do, you should probably support them in a contest against someone likely to do even fewer things that you don't like.

    This is all very simple for most dems but remarkably complex for folks like you.

    Parent

    I expected that (none / 0) (#106)
    by Edger on Tue Dec 13, 2011 at 03:57:01 PM EST
    I know you don't consider yourself an idiot, but, as you've repeatedly asked, we'll just have to agree to disagree on that.

    And since you don't consider yourself an idiot, you'll have no trouble comprehending Jeralyn's comment here...

    The defense department wrote objecting to the provision (see here at p. 17 .PDF)

    See also, Feinstein,p. 31 and Levin p. 40 and Levin, p. 40

    So the law of the land is that if you are captured overseas, even if you are an American citizen, you can be held as an enemy combatant and questioned by our military with no right to proceed to a criminal venue. It is not a choice to try them or let them go. You can hold an unlawful enemy combatant for an indefinite period of time just like you could hold any other enemy prisoner in any other war. But what we have done differently in this war is we have said: Our courts will review the military's decision to declare you as an enemy combatant in a habeas procedure--not a criminal trial but a habeas procedure--as to whether there is sufficient evidence to label you as an unlawful enemy combatant.

    ...the law of the land by the Supreme Court is that an American citizen can be held as an enemy combatant. Like every other enemy combatant, they have habeas rights, but they don't have the right to say: Try me in a civilian court or military commission court, because when we capture someone, the goal is to gather intelligence.

    And you'll have no trouble comprehending Peter G's comment here...

    ...to say that something is not "require[d]" by the law does not by any means say that is it prohibited; to the contrary, it would seem that indefinite military detention of alleged "enemy combatants" in the "war on terror" who are U.S. citizens is in fact authorized, albeit not required in every case, by this bill.  Subsection (b)(2) (re: LPRs) is just flat out meaningless.  No statute can authorize anything that is unconstitutional, and simply to say so (which is all that (b)(2) does) is nothing but self-evident, misleading doubletalk.

    And since you don't consider yourself an idiot, you'll have no trouble comprehending Jeralyn's post in which both of those comments were made.

    As far as your own ability to comprehend your own inability to comprehend simple facts, as I said previously, I can't help you with that issue. That's something you'll have to deal with internally, on your own. No one else here has that inability.


    Parent

    Yes, the mob (none / 0) (#55)
    by MKS on Tue Dec 13, 2011 at 11:31:55 AM EST
    The effort to silence....too bad those who say they are on the Left are for this.....

    Parent
    This is such a condescending (none / 0) (#56)
    by MKS on Tue Dec 13, 2011 at 11:34:27 AM EST
    post.

    Edger, you say that the Democrats can win by campaiging on single payer and war crimes trials for Dick Cheney.

    Nice sentiments but totally unworkable....preposterous really  as campaign issues.

    Parent

    Anyone else remember the paid (none / 0) (#121)
    by Amiss on Wed Dec 14, 2011 at 11:22:46 PM EST
    bloggers of the 08 election?

    Parent
    rumor has it, (none / 0) (#18)
    by cpinva on Tue Dec 13, 2011 at 07:35:54 AM EST
    that mr. gingrich only agreed to sign the pledge, after a special clause, providing an exception for him, was recently inserted. also, he had his other (non-writing), hand behind his back, with his fingers crossed.

    jeralyn, a suggestion (regardless of which OS you have on your various computers), always save data to an external HD (the cost of memory is cheap, a one TB drive, with a SETA connection, will cost you probably $100), doing so will ensure it won't be lost, even if your machine bursts into flame, taking everything else with it. do a clean re-install, of your OS and all apps, yearly, regardless of whatever anti-virus/spyware, etc. apps your running.

    the problem is the internet, and there is no way around this problem, except to not use it. once connected, your machine (and all data) is subject to hacking. the only advantage offered by OS's other than MS, is that the users of such are few in number, making it far less attractive for hackers to spend valuable time figuring out ways to hack them.

    since the vast majority of applications are primarily designed with a windows version OS in mind, switching to another OS may result in less usability/utility of programs important to your work, even with the various workarounds, which present a unique pain in the butt themselves.

    just a suggestion.

    Newt will go forth & sin no more (none / 0) (#19)
    by BobTinKY on Tue Dec 13, 2011 at 08:13:53 AM EST
    I remember as a kid asking my Dad, who was a devout Catholic, why not just do what you want and ask for forgiveness when you're old.  He said it didn't work that way and besides, who knows if you'll be fortunate enough to grow old; you wouldn't want to be judged on an incomplete project.

    Maybe Newt identified the same loophole.  Ahh well, judge not etc.

    I second the Linux suggestion.  With crossover office you can use most of the killer Microsoft apps like Word.  suggest using Ubuntu 10 not 11 as they changed the desktop and it is not as intuitive to Windows users.

    Newt is Catholic (none / 0) (#51)
    by jbindc on Tue Dec 13, 2011 at 11:13:07 AM EST
    He should realize there is no loophole- you are only forgiven if you are TRULY sorry and don't commit the sin again.

    Of course, that doesn't apply to election season, I guess.

    Parent

    Sandusky waives right to a preliminary hearing (none / 0) (#23)
    by rdandrea on Tue Dec 13, 2011 at 08:35:51 AM EST
    Arraignment set for Jan. 11.

    Story here.

    Why These Idiot Groups are Pointless (none / 0) (#25)
    by ScottW714 on Tue Dec 13, 2011 at 09:18:41 AM EST
    Is the republican party really so lost of direction that the leading candidate has to promise he won't screw someone other then his wife.

    Which of course is the real problem with these religious types (not to be confused will all religious types), the pledge.  Presumably, Newt swore to god not to cheat on 1 and 2, and this group thinks their little sheet is gonna keep him flying straight ?  It makes no sense except to embarrass him.  They had to get their pound (more like a gram) of flesh before they could back him.

    And lastly this:

    "I also pledge to uphold the institution of marriage through personal fidelity to my spouse and respect for the marital bonds of others,"

    Is Newt down with gay marriage ?

    You know, not even (none / 0) (#29)
    by jimakaPPJ on Tue Dec 13, 2011 at 09:45:43 AM EST
    Clinton had to promise that....

    Wait.... no Democrats asked him.

    Parent

    Why would they? (5.00 / 0) (#34)
    by Yman on Tue Dec 13, 2011 at 09:53:28 AM EST
    Most Democrats think a candidate's sexual affairs aren't relevant.  Of course, Newt is a "family values" Republican, so he wants the vote of the Christian Right.

    Maybe the third time is a charm ...

    Parent

    Let it Go Already... (5.00 / 1) (#41)
    by ScottW714 on Tue Dec 13, 2011 at 10:21:35 AM EST
    ...Am I gonna be 80 and some dip$hit is going to bring up Clinton, jesus, it's been 15 years, let it go already.

    Maybe I should be glad or the nitwit brigade would be defaulting to JFK which would predate my existence.

    Now back to the actual subject at hand, the right making people sign pledges/make promises to not screw someone other than their spouse.  If you they cared about people as much as some abstract principle.

    Parent

    Pretty sure Newt has broken vows before (5.00 / 0) (#42)
    by ruffian on Tue Dec 13, 2011 at 10:24:48 AM EST
    What makes this one any more sacred?

    Newt said he is a 68 yr old grandfather now and that makes all the difference. I guess if he had any energy left he would still be a philanderer.

    Parent

    This one is not more sacred (none / 0) (#47)
    by rdandrea on Tue Dec 13, 2011 at 10:47:24 AM EST
    Just easier to keep.  He just needs to keep it until the election.

    Parent
    Obama trailing Romney AND Newt ... (none / 0) (#35)
    by Yman on Tue Dec 13, 2011 at 10:12:53 AM EST
    ... in a dozen, key battleground states:

    The survey, which included Colorado, Florida, Iowa, Michigan, Nevada, New Hampshire, New Mexico, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia and Wisconsin, found that Obama is running behind the former Massachusetts governor, 43-48 percent, while he is losing to the former House speaker, 45-48 percent.


    Thoughts (none / 0) (#54)
    by AngryBlackGuy on Tue Dec 13, 2011 at 11:31:02 AM EST
    1. Do polls matter?  There are different reactions when the polls show one thing and when the polls show the opposite.  To me they always matter to some degree.

    2. The CNN tracking poll for Dole v. Clinton is one of many good comparisons.  In the equivalent of January 2012 (January 1996) Dole was beating Clinton 49% to 46%.

    The incumbent gets more popular as people start focusing on his achievements and the weakness of the competition. Politico's Benen nailed it a few months back:

    "Clearly, an incumbent president trailing his most likely challenger at this point isn't good news, but consider the bigger picture: his approval rating is down to 40%; the overwhelming majority of the public believes the country is on the wrong track and conditions are getting worse; unemployment is extremely high; while most presidents enjoy at least some support from the other party, rank-and-file Republicans overwhelmingly hate Obama; and the liberal base isn't even close to satisfied.

    It's against this backdrop that the president, against a credible Republican challenger, only trails by two points? I'd expect him to be faring much worse given the larger circumstances."

    That's really the key.  Obama's numbers are only going to increase from now on.  If Romney isn't handily beating him now (before the country really engages and understands what the GOP wants to do) Obama is in fairly decent shape.

    Parent

    Interesting (5.00 / 1) (#74)
    by jbindc on Tue Dec 13, 2011 at 12:49:09 PM EST
    Considering that you love polls that show Obama's numbers in comparison with Bush or Clinton.

    And Romney has been largely dilent except for the debates. He's letting the crazies in his party fizzle out, so if he's beating Obama without saying or doing much to this point, I'd argue that Obama should be even more worried, especially as this will be the first election he actually has to defend a record.

    Parent

    Why? (none / 0) (#78)
    by AngryBlackGuy on Tue Dec 13, 2011 at 01:11:36 PM EST
    I said in one of the posts above that, unlike others who only care about polls when they make their point, "To me they always matter to some degree."
    I think they mean something. What the polls and history say is at this point in the electio cycle it is common for the challenger to be ahead slightly.  Obama is in essentially the same position that Reagan, Bush II, and Clinton were when matched against their competition.

    As to your point on Romney, the reason that challengers are often ahead at this point is that the really heavy guns haven't come out yet.  People don't know Romney.  They don't quite understand what his back story is. Etc.

    Whenever people take a close look at the challenger, they often like him less. That should be especially true with Romney who has traditionally become less popular as he speaks more.

    Unfortunately for Mitt, he's going to have to run to the right against Newt, which will make him even less appealing in a general.

    Meanwhile, Obama watches it all and lobs bombs from the bully pulpit.  There are 9-10 debates left for the GOP before Obama has to show up for one next October.  That is a lot of time for Mitt and Newt to make gaffes and look bad.

    The advantages of incumbency are real and substantial.

    Parent

    Actually, you didn't actually SAY ... (5.00 / 0) (#98)
    by Yman on Tue Dec 13, 2011 at 03:03:23 PM EST
    I said in one of the posts above that, unlike others who only care about polls when they make their point, "To me they always matter to some degree."

    ... that "others only care about polls when they make their point" - although apparently that's the accusation you were struggling with when you asked your "question".  But then, of course, you dismissed the poll in question and used a January 2012 Clinton poll (as opposed to an analogous December 2011 poll).  Gee, - I wonder why you chose that poll?  Maybe because it was a one-month dip in Clinton's approval numbers, which (unlike Obama's) were over 50% and trending upwards.

    Soooooo transparent ....

    BTW - Reagan, Bush 2 and Clinton's approval numbers were over 50% - heck, Obama's below even Carter's numbers at this point.

    Obama's November Approval Weak From Historical Perspective

    President Obama's 43% average job approval rating last month ranks as one of the lowest for an elected president in November of his third year in office. Only Jimmy Carter had a lower rating, at 40%. But Carter's rating surged in late November 1979 because of a rally in support after the onset of the Iranian Hostage Crisis, and he averaged above 50% in December. All recently elected presidents were at or above 50% in December of their third year in office.

    Parent

    And (none / 0) (#79)
    by AngryBlackGuy on Tue Dec 13, 2011 at 01:13:22 PM EST
    defending his record is the easiest thing Obama has to do.

    By far.  Although they are dismissed around here, they are massive and substantial.  It is clearly one of his biggest strengths.

    Parent

    Is that why (5.00 / 2) (#83)
    by jbindc on Tue Dec 13, 2011 at 01:36:15 PM EST
    So many people have abandoned the Democratic  party? Because of Obama's great record?

    Don't forget- there also haven't been really big bombs lobbed at Obama either, andvthe oress has only picked around the edges.  The fact that his campaign anticipates having tobraise mire than $1 billion to get re-elected tells you right there that he can't run on a strong record.

    Parent

    Really? (none / 0) (#85)
    by vicndabx on Tue Dec 13, 2011 at 01:41:50 PM EST
    Don't forget- there also haven't been really big bombs lobbed at Obama either

    So his number are low because of what? His ears?

    Parent

    Yes, really (5.00 / 1) (#90)
    by jbindc on Tue Dec 13, 2011 at 02:17:59 PM EST
    Lack of results on things like the economy will turn many voters against you.  Others will hang on to support you and defend you until more and more details come out about the crappy positions you took on lesser known or less sexy issues.

    There are a few around here, for example, who keep telling us what a great job Obama is doing, especially fir liberal ideals, even if that's contrary to reality.

    Parent

    Heh - Did you ever notice ... (5.00 / 1) (#96)
    by Yman on Tue Dec 13, 2011 at 02:51:46 PM EST
    defending his record is the easiest thing Obama has to do.

    By far.  Although they are dismissed around here, they are massive and substantial.  It is clearly one of his biggest strengths.

    ... that the guys who constantly feel the need to tell everyone how "massive" and "substantial" they are, ...

    ... usually aren't?

    Parent

    Are you referring to a guy's junk? (5.00 / 1) (#97)
    by sarcastic unnamed one on Tue Dec 13, 2011 at 03:01:19 PM EST
    If so, how would you know that they usually aren't "massive" and "substantial"?

    Parent
    It's called a "metaphor", ... (5.00 / 2) (#99)
    by Yman on Tue Dec 13, 2011 at 03:05:02 PM EST
    ... although now that you mention it ...

    Parent
    Meanwhile . . . (none / 0) (#57)
    by AngryBlackGuy on Tue Dec 13, 2011 at 11:35:12 AM EST
    "How can Barack Obama, as this new NBC/Marist poll has it, be beating Newt Gingrich and Mitt Romney in South Carolina, of all places? The leads are narrow--it's just 45-42 over Romney and 46-42 over Gingrich. But still, this is South Carolina, the home state of a senator (Lindsey Graham) who, just this past Sunday on Meet the Press, was talking nullification of federal laws in the shameful style that is his state's benighted tradition. Is it conceivable that 10 months and three weeks from now, Obama could actually win the state? If it happens, we will know that the Republicans are headed off the cliff. And that is precisely where we should all hope they go."

    Link

    Bottom line for me: If Obama were polling in the 30s and getting killed by the GOP nominee by almost double digits, I'd say he was toast.  His position now is not horrible because it sets up a narrative of improving numbers as the economy improves.  

    Parent

    Hopium (none / 0) (#94)
    by Yman on Tue Dec 13, 2011 at 02:37:50 PM EST
    It's effects last longer on some people ...

    Parent
    Tebow's Magic (none / 0) (#80)
    by CoralGables on Tue Dec 13, 2011 at 01:22:32 PM EST
    Tebow must have converted the president of the American Atheists into believing in god. He just doesn't believe god is a Broncos fan.

    When discussing Tebow and the Broncos phenomenon in Denver, David Silverman, who is president of American Atheists, responded "How are the Patriots fans supposed to feel if the Broncos score and he thanks God for it? Are they supposed to think that God somehow is a Broncos fan? He's not."

    Hmm (none / 0) (#81)
    by rdandrea on Tue Dec 13, 2011 at 01:30:08 PM EST
    If he believes there is no God, how does he know who God roots for?

    Parent
    More Carrier IQ (none / 0) (#84)
    by vicndabx on Tue Dec 13, 2011 at 01:40:22 PM EST
    The Federal Bureau of Investigation has denied a request regarding Carrier IQ, a piece of software found on smartphones and designed to send information on handsets to carriers......In denying the request, the FBI said it had information but could not disclose it because it is considered "law enforcement records."

    WaPo link

    It's official (none / 0) (#89)
    by CoralGables on Tue Dec 13, 2011 at 02:08:51 PM EST
    NEW YORK -- Donald Trump says he is pulling out of a Republican presidential debate he had agreed to moderate in Iowa.

    The real estate mogul announced Tuesday that he was stepping back in order to preserve the option of running for president in case he's not satisfied that the eventual Republican nominee can defeat President Barack Obama. The conservative website Newsmax was to host the debate Dec. 27.



    {head desk} n/t (5.00 / 1) (#109)
    by nycstray on Tue Dec 13, 2011 at 07:53:37 PM EST
    I've got brand new Dell Inspiron (none / 0) (#101)
    by Chuck0 on Tue Dec 13, 2011 at 03:27:36 PM EST
    64-bit laptop I'll sell ya. Cheap (well less than I paid Amazon anyway). Only used once for a Skype call.

    on sale (none / 0) (#120)
    by Amiss on Wed Dec 14, 2011 at 10:26:04 PM EST
    for the trend $39.95 FYI